The Research Design Associates Blog

(jury instructions)

Probability is hard to understand and does not really get easier with use

While jumping to conclusions can allow fast, heuristic decision that are often correct and expedient; it can also lead to false conclusions when there is insufficient information, and little reality basis for the conclusion beyond immediate experience. Research that satisfies the premises of the statistical model force logical consistency in the math and offer an opportunity to improve information quality. Careful and thoughtful probability research can provide insights and answers well beyond verbal logic. It is a second set of information available to those who will slow the decision making process and grapple with the novel way of looking at the world.

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Landmark Court Decision Mandates Changes in Eyewitness Identification Procedures

In August, the New Jersey Supreme Court issued a landmark decision that requires significant changes in the way courts evaluate eyewitness identification evidence at trial and how they instruct juries. The court acknowledged a "troubling lack of reliability in eyewitness identifications" based on an exhaustive review of the scientific research conducted since the 1970s.

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